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Time: 2017-02-17

In the first half of July, the domestic general plastic raw material market to drop mainly Yin, most product prices slightly lower. The market participation enthusiasm is not high, the transaction is light.

Downstream, the current basic demand season, start general. In macroeconomics, the federal reserve said in early July that it was on track to raise U.S. interest rates this year, a decision that will show the extent of the nation's recovery from the "trauma" of the financial crisis.

To raise interest rates gently, the fed should raise them sooner rather than later. The fed is almost certain to raise interest rates this year, but will continue to provide ample liquidity for commodity markets in the short term.

Greece and eurozone members have just reached a bailout deal, and the Iranian nuclear issue was also agreed on July 14, marking a substantial breakthrough in the 12-year negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue and the end of three years of western sanctions against Iran. Domestically, in the first half of the national bureau of statistics data show that in the first half year-on-year GDP growth of 7.0%, in the face of complex domestic and international economic environment and increasing downward pressure, adhere to seek improvement in stability of the party central committee and state council work always tone, scientific and accurate implementation of the macroeconomic regulation and control, and unswervingly promote reform and system innovation, operation of national economy in a reasonable range, main indicators gradually recover, stabilization in slow, steady, have a good development momentum.

In terms of international crude oil, in the middle of July, the Iran nuclear talks reached a final agreement, and the export ban on crude oil was lifted, which will further increase the supply of goods on the market in the future and aggravate the bearish sentiment. One of the main reasons is the decline of crude oil demand caused by China's economic slowdown, which further aggravates the contradiction between supply and demand in the market. International crude oil is expected to remain in the second half of the low range consolidation.

To sum up, there is still pressure on the basic supply and demand of the market, and the orders of downstream product enterprises are generally insufficient, leading to insufficient confidence of market participants and a strong negative atmosphere. Second half of the market price is expected to remain weak collation.

1, PE in the first half of July domestic PE market first up and then down, some petrochemical increase factory price at the beginning of the month, to give market cost support, business attitude is good, followed by a small high reported. Near the middle of the month, futures weakness and part of the petrochemical began to price sales, market trading enthusiasm is not high, business delivery is not smooth, part of the benefits to facilitate the delivery.

At present, the market turnover is still not optimistic, but in the later stage, the number of agricultural film factory orders in north China will gradually increase, which will strongly promote the whole market of polyethylene. It is expected that the domestic PE market will rise tentatively in the second half of this month. Second, PP in the first half of this month domestic polypropylene market price collation after a stalemate fell slightly.

Most petrochemical enterprises are still listed for sale, the mentality of businesses cautious, follow the market break-even go goods. In the middle of the month, crude oil and polypropylene futures were both lower, while downstream factories were still purchasing small orders, with negative factors prevailing and loose market offers.

Most of the petrochemical region factory price reduction, the market cost support weakened at the same time, also shows that their inventory pressure has increased compared to the early period. Terminal demand is difficult to recover effectively in the short term and will continue to restrict the market.

Market is expected to lower the second half of the consolidation is more likely. First half of this month domestic PVC market performance is insipid, supply and demand fundamentals lack strong support.

Although the futures market ended the panic atmosphere, but soon entered a stalemate situation, and the futures price is significantly lower than the spot price, the spot PVC market formed a certain pressure. Market participants mentality is poor, positive shipping - based, constantly loose prices.

To sum up, the supply and demand fundamentals of PVC still have some pressure, the confidence of participants is insufficient, and the market is gloomy. It is expected that the market price of PVC will be mainly weak next week. 4. In the first half of this month, the prices of most products in the domestic PS market were lower and partially rebounded.

Rebound mainly by the upstream styrene strong rebound support. But the late lack of further good to promote, the rise of some markets is also weak.

After the PS ex-factory price was lowered by most production enterprises, the pessimism in the industry resumed and PS market basically remained stable. Traders shipping resistance, replenishment more cautious.

Raw material deadlocked collation, the mentality of the industry some confusion, buyers and sellers will continue to reduce the operation. Petrochemical plant starts are low, the market supply may continue low, and the downstream low season, the actual demand is also weak.

Waiting for the news surface is clear, short - term PS market or wait - and - see prices narrow consolidation. The recovery in the peripheral market failed to change the weak trend of ABS domestic market.

Due to insufficient demand and increased pressure on sellers to deliver, the domestic ABS market center of gravity continued to move down in the first half of this month. Major manufacturers continue to reduce the offer and part of the middle and high-end expected to speed up the decline, part of the brand more preferential.

However, as the market fell again, buying bearish mentality, floor turnover continued to shrink. Short - term sellers to release inventory pressure,ABS market is still expected to test.